Daugaard Poll at Mt. Blogmore
I read PP’s post from earlier today, and that got me to thinking about another article put out by Kevin Woster about a week ago over at Mt. Blogmore. It mentioned a few statistics that I found interesting… I believe that this might be the same poll PP mentions, but a few stats stood out.
In regards to name ID, Dave Knudson has the highest name recognition of all GOP candidates; Knudson stands at 70% recognition, Dennis Daugaard has 58% recognition, Scott Munsterman has 45% name recognition and Ken Knuppe has 32%.
Daugaard wins out in the favorability department, with a 32% favorable to 1% unfavorable; Knudson follows close behind with a 26-7 split, Munsterman takes in 10% favorable to 3% unfavorable, and Knuppe rounds out with an 8-3 split.
Finally, when asked straight out who voters would want to vote for, again, Daugaard takes the top spot in the poll. When asked, 26% said they would vote for Daugaard, Knudson follows with 9%, Munsterman claims 6%, and Knuppe claims 3%.
So what does this mean with the race so far? I think it means things have pretty much shaken out as they would be expected. I was a little surprised to read that Knudson had the most name recognition, but not entirely surprised. Daugaard, as pretty much anybody could predict, comes out with the predictable routine like Gov. Rounds, he’s got the smile and shake hands part of the campaign down. Finally, with the “who-would-you-vote-for” question, I was a little surprised that Daugaard stood so far out… I somewhat expected a closer race than this, but I guess anything is possible at this point in time.
Read the poll at Mt. Blogmore here and scroll down to “They seem to like Rounds, and the road we’re on”
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Comments
Maybe leaking the poll wasn’t all that smart? Dennis is the incumbent. He’s been raising money, under the Rounds contribution system, for 4 years. And, despite the incumbency and time lead there’s still a good number of undecided voters.
Other points I’ve pondered:
1) A luxury of releasing the internal poll is that cross tabs weren’t disclosed
2) Dennis ought to be careful about labeling anyone a “pro-choice” candidate. I’m fairly certain there’s only one absolute pro-lifer in the GOP primary and I don’t believe he lives in Garretson. Before Tony goes berzerk about my ‘label’ comment I’m talking about Dennis’ own voting record on the subject.
3) At this early juncture, Heidepriem’s best chance is against Dennis.
I think the poll release identifies weaknesses & proves that both Knudson and Munsterman could make a play. Sorry, Ken.
I’m surprised that Knudson’s name id is that high. To bad he doesn’t have the personality to capitalize! (Don’t get me wrong very nice guy). 70% id = 9% of the vote! That is not good!
I think as a whole they all have good name id for this part of the race!
The Truth ??? Did I miss where Dennis Daugaard said someone was pro-choice???
Also if you know of the area in Dennis’ record it would be helpfull for you to point it out.
Wanted to make sure The Truth wasn’t misleading.
Thanks!!! for helping me understand
Yo question mark,
A story referencing a daugaard internal poll talks about Knudsen the “pro-choice” candidate. Other than exceptions, who says? It’s insinuated in the article. And, it (the reference) originated from the DAUGAARD INTERNAL POLL. You should know this – sounds like you’re a Dauggy.
Daugaard has cast a vote in favor of exceptions. We’ll let the campaigns worry about how to play that & when.
…or just click here, which will take you straight to Kevin Woster’s discussion of the numbers from Dennis Daugaard’s internal poll. Internal poll…meaning you get what Dennis Daugaard paid to hear. Hm….