David Montgomery ponders this thought over on Political Smokeout based on SDDP Chairman BJ Nesselfluff’s recent comments
?Everything I have seen indicates he is running. He is raising money, he is getting out and visiting every corner of the state. If the Democrats hold the (Senate) majority (beyond 2012), and he continues to be chairman of the banking committee, that would be a darn tough thing to walk from. Especially for South Dakota, that relies so heavily on the banking industry, to have him walk away from that, I think would be detrimental to the state potentially,? Nesselhuf said.
The simple answer is no. This is my reasoning. Mike Rounds. And if Mike Rounds doesn’t run, Kristi Noem will. In 2002 Johnson and Thune clashed, but Johnson was still in his prime and held on to a narrow victory. In 2008 due to his unfortunate health problems, Johnson wasn’t nearly the candidate he had been in years past but drew a lucky hand with a favorable climate and weak GOP opponent. The climate in South Dakota has drifted substantially to favor Republicans since ’08, and both Noem and Rounds are big league candidates Johnson would have to work very hard to defeat.
The MDR blog also highlighted an interesting trinket back in February that stuck out to me as one of the major reasons Senator Johnson will not run again.
But if Mike (Rounds) and Tim (Johnson) end up on the same ballot for the same office, it would be great contest to observe. Neither man has ever lost a race for office and both are rather proud of that fact.
Strangely, it is my belief that any Republican would prefer to run against Tim Johnson rather than Stephanie Herseth Sandlin or even his son Brendan Johnson. Johnson’s voting record has drifted far left in this final term.