From Yahoo News/National Journal’s Hotline, from a different organization than other rankings, South Dakota is once again at the top of the list:
Here are The Hotline‘s inaugural 2014 Senate rankings of the seats most likely to switch parties. (We’re not including New Jersey on the list, which was held by Democrats until Gov. Chris Christie appointed GOP Sen. Jeff Chiesa on an interim basis.)
1. South Dakota (Democratic-controlled)
The most interesting part of this race is the Republican primary. Former Gov. Mike Rounds is the heavy favorite, but fiscal conservatives aren’t fans of his gubernatorial record. State Sen. Larry Rhoden is challenging Rounds for the GOP nomination. Democrats aren’t looking like they’ll be able to exploit the intraparty rift, losing out on their top recruits. For now, that leaves them with former Tom Daschle staffer Rick Weiland, who isn’t expected to put the seat in play.