A recent editorial in The Washington Examiner discusses and debunks the concept that VP’s are chosen from large states to deliver states rich in electoral college votes.
Forget Ohio?s Rob Portman or Florida?s Marco Rubio, two Republican senators most pundits believe Mitt Romney will choose as his running mate. Think instead Rep. Paul Ryan, R-Wisc., or New Mexico Gov. Susana Martinez, or Sen. John Thune, R-S.D.
The reason: Political pundits are wrong when they predict that Romney will pick Portman or Rubio because they will give the ticket a huge Electoral Vote win in their key swing states. In fact, in modern presidential history no nominee has picked a running mate just because he thought the No. 2 could deliver his big home state.
Thune’s name is being discussed more and more as a possible vice presidential candidate.
Goldstein finds that only seven of 27 VP nominees have even come from big states since 1960, and equal number from small states. And, yes, John F. Kennedy did chose Texas Sen. Lyndon Johnson in 1960, but he was picked to help JFK in the South, not Texas.
Turning to the key swing states of Florida and Ohio, which most pundits say Romney needs in his column to beat Obama, Goldstein, a St. Louis University School of Law professor, said that their past importance in veepstakes is irrelevant. Ohio, for example, hasn?t produced a veep nominee since 1944 and Florida has never had a vice presidential candidate.
Senator Thune would be a great choice for VP. He has a high upside without providing much of a risk. He is very likable and does not resort to bomb throwing like many others on both sides of the political aisle. Nominating someone who is solution-oriented like Thune rather than someone interested in partisan bickering would be a tremendous boost to the GOP nominee.
Looking at a list of potential VP choices from Chris Christie to Bob McDonnell or Marco Rubio and John Thune, it is clear they would all make great selections who would excite the base.