Who’s running, and who probably won’t make the ballot? Tale of the tape New Years’ Eve edition

It’s time for a rundown of what’s happening with Republicans at the statewide level in South Dakota. Who’s running for what, and who will probably not be running for what. it’s time for the GOP Tale of the tape New Years’ Eve edition:

51 thoughts on “Who’s running, and who probably won’t make the ballot? Tale of the tape New Years’ Eve edition”

  1. I always love this thread and update. we are blessed by a lot of good candidates. The Democrats don’t have anyone for any races except Governor and Congress.

    Marty and Kristi both raising lots of money, should be interesting.
    I don’t see Mr. Lafleur making the ballot. he should drop out and save the efforts.
    Lora also has NO CHANCE, not enough Tara Voleskys in the state to support her.

    Dusty and Shantel both running strong.
    Mr. Terrell, who?!! Doesn’t he have to do quarterly reporting requirements for the money he has earned being a federal candidate? I don’t see him making the ballot either.
    When will Tapio actually get in? especially with session approaching. He does know he needs to get signatures and build name ID right?

    I am surprised and thought there would be more interest in some of the other races, especially secretary of state.

    1. The only problem with running for some of those offices is that for all practical purposes, you have to move to Pierre. Sometimes, it’s not attractive for people.

      There’s been talk of others getting in, but it’s hard to filter out the wheat from the chaff.

    2. Tara Volesky is a Democrat, albeit a pro-life Democrat. How could she be supporting Laura??? I’m confused. Isn’t Tara’s son from Huron a Democrat candidate for State House?

      1. Conrad, you must be new here….Tara is Lora’s #1 supporter here.

        Look through some of the other threads and you will see here defend her no matter what is being discussed.

        1. Sorry Conrad, I am an Independent. I am supporting Lora because of the issues, not the party. Party means nothing anymore. It’s all about substance and what you believe in. We need less government, not more.

      2. You are right, Conrad. Hubbel is RINO. Her running mate in 2014 was a democrat, she ran as an independent, she was Constitution party chair. Her biggest campaign volunteer/staffer in 2014 was a pro-pot libertarian. Her biggest advocate here is Tara who is a democrat hiding behind the independent label.

        1. No matter what color of hat Ms. Hubbel wears, it always has the insignia of “insaner than most” on the front.

        2. Do your research. Hubbel is the only true conservative running. Just you tube her or check her fb.

          1. Her FB has been most entertaining. Chemtrails. Doggie microchips, vaccines. The SIDS “back to sleep” campaign, and Affairs on the third floor.
            The government is trying to poison us, keep us under surveillance, inject us with nano particles, and make babies more susceptible to government mind control. All while fooling around under their desks.
            It’s all good stuff.

            1. You must be joking. IF the lady really believes all of this “stuff” why is she not under care in some facility? She can’t be that goofy. Nothing conservative in what you say she believes, that’s for sure. Whew!

            2. December 27 at 7:03pm ·
              Pat Powers shows he doesn’t get it as he follows up with his racist attack after Lora Hubbell for clearly saying this Biblical truth:

              ” I say dividing people by race is racist. we are all PEOPLE not races.”
              Anybody playing identity politcis is wrong, no matter which side you are on, proved by Pat Powers using Cory Heidelberger’s racist based cultural Neo-Marxism
              Pat Powers goes after Lora Hubbel for being a racist: It seems we have a morning every once in a while where we find ourselves going “Oh God. Lora Hubbel really did that,” and we’re recoiling in horror over her…
              SIBBYONLINE.BLOGS.COM
              December 27 at 7:03pm ·
              Pat Powers shows he doesn’t get it as he follows up with his racist attack after Lora Hubbell for clearly saying this Biblical truth:

              ” I say dividing people by race is racist. we are all PEOPLE not races.”
              Anybody playing identity politcis is wrong, no matter which side you are on, proved by Pat Powers using Cory Heidelberger’s racist based cultural Neo-Marxism
              Pat Powers goes after Lora Hubbel for being a racist: It seems we have a morning every once in a while where we find ourselves going “Oh God. Lora Hubbel really did that,” and we’re recoiling in horror over her…
              SIBBYONLINE.BLOGS.COM

              You forgot this post Anne.

        3. was that the pothead that asked Lora about the super secret FEMA camps in South Dakota? Drug use, paranoia and weird conspiracies. birds of a feather

              1. Thanks for posting Ike. It’s quite obvious, she doesn’t cozy up to the Feds. Love her critical thinking skills.

                1. She let’s anybody asks questions. Free speech instead of

                  She let’s anybody asks questions. No screening questions from her.

  2. The race for Congress was going to be interesting, but now Krebs and Tapio are both trying to prove who’s more Trumpian. Tapio doesn’t have a chance, but he will likely pull enough votes from Krebs to give Dusty a relatively easy win. Ask Mike Rounds about the advantages of staying out of the fray!

    Noem and Jackley will be an interesting race. However, it would appear that Marty’s not getting as big of an advantage as he should have early on. He’s been in full-blown campaign mode for months, and Noem hasn’t been in-state enough to really engage yet. Once she does, it might be over for Jackley.

    1. Anon1 11:01 AM interesting assumption that Dusty has been gifted by a rift between Krebs and Tapio similar to what Kirby and Barnett did for Mike. You do remember there was blood spilled politically over and over again in verbal accusations between Kirby and Barnett which Mike smartly stayed out of right? This FB Fake News stuff doesn’t even move the meter a 1/4 point either way but hey I totally get Friends of Dusty keeping it alive.

      1. Tapio is a non factor. The race will come down to Krebs and Johnson.

        No one cares about anything that has happened so far. No one will make up their minds until April or May.

        Same with Jackley and Noem.

        These races are tossups.

        Noem and Krebs have a higher ceiling than Johnson or Jackley. They also are not as steady as the guys. Johnson and Jackley will not wow us as much But we will always know what we are getting. Maybe that works and maybe it doesn’t.

      2. The AG’s race is crowded but there is room for a strong candidate. At this point it’s between Ravnsborg and McGuigan but I’d support Russell after meeting him. He’s not the lightning rod his reputation has.

        I am not fired up about Sattgast and the revolving door game but like you say Pat who wants to move to Pierre and run?

        Sattgast should have gone for PUC instead of looking to maintain a job in his old position. I look at it if Vern Larson would have run for treasurer again Joshua Haeder wouldn’t have an opportunity. The musical chair scenario in Pierre gets old. New blood like Haeder and Brunner is good for the party. If you want a lifetime job look to the private sector.

        Is there a qualified legislator who could run?

        Brunner is a rising star and probably the most talented of the bunch.

  3. The AG’s race will be an interesting one and probably go more than one round of voting at convention. Each candidate has a unique strength that makes them an attractive candidate. Fitzgerald has the prosecuting record, Russell has the “conservative fighter” credo, McGuigen has the AG office experience, and Ravnsborg has the grassroots/delegate exposure from being heavily active in Republican politics.

    My prediction is Ravnsborg and Russell will make it passed the first round. After that all bets are off!

      1. I haven’t seen McGuigan in months do anything I don’t know why he is even running.

        He is clearly in 4th.

      2. That’s way to high… I like Jason and he’s currently the one I’d support in the race but there is some angst among people about his credentials to be AG. Not saying that he doesn’t have them but it is not something he leads with. Jason will win in a landslide if he starts hammering a message of how his experience in the Army and as an Attorney would make him a great AG.

    1. Someone that possesses all of these “unique strengths” needs to step up to the plate and become the party’s choice for Attorney General. The party shouldn’t settle for a less than well qualified candidate in all respects. Charlie is the most qualified, but needs to start talking to potential delegates and supporters immediately. This could be a wild convention especially if a dark horse shows up late in the race.

  4. Governor- Noem is in the driver’s seat. She is running her own race, maintaining a good balance between work and campaigning. Jackley is close behind, but a couple of missteps seemed to have lost him a little traction. I would have liked to see less attempts to force errors on Kristi and more focus on his own campaign at this point in the race. My guess: 53% Kristi, 47% Marty.

    Congress- Dusty Johnson will win with 45%. The guy is a campaign machine and very likable. Shantel has a good network and high name recognition in the state, but with the FB ordeal early on and now Tapio as a thorn in her side, it’s going to be hard for her to overcome that. 34% Krebs. Tapio just doesn’t have enough of a record or name ID, but he could tap 20%.

    Attorney General- Russell will be hard to vote for given his reputation as Stace’s bestie. I would like to know more about McGuigan, Fitzgerald, and Ravnsborg. This one’s a tossup.

  5. A convention will be uneventful if the AG’s race is the only contest and everything else is a coronation.

  6. I wish the candidates for Congress would talk about Nancy Pelosi instead of each other anyway.
    Watching Pelosi the other day, babbling almost incoherently, I wondered how many people are being reminded of their senile great aunts and grandmothers, and need to be reminded that if they elect the wrong person to the House, that old woman will be running the country again.

    1. Your right about grandma Pelosi, but unfortunately we’ve got another old one in the White House who is also “babbling almost incoherently”. What a mess we are in.

      1. We’re in better hands with Trump than we would have been with Hillary. With Trump we have someone who wants to put America first, who appoints conservative judges who actually believe in our Constitution, who helped push through tax cuts, who actually let the military do their job and squash ISIS, who rolled back Obama’s economy-killing regulations, and who is the one who DIDN’T work with Russia to skew the elections. I’d say we’re not doing as badly as the MSM tells you.

  7. We’re in better hands with Trump than we would have been with Hillary Well, smaller hands anyway. . With Trump we have someone who wants to put America first and instead only strengthens China, Russia, and Germany who appoints conservative judges who actually believe in our Constitution candidates who are unqualified and then remove themselves from consideration, who helped push through tax cuts for the wealthy, who actually let the military do their job and squash ISIS or at least the militaries of Russia and Syria, who rolled back Obama’s economy-killing regulations the economy grew under Obama after he inherited one of the worst economic disasters in history – meanwhile Trump inherited a great economy – think he can keep it up?, and who is the one who DIDN’T work with Russia to skew the elections That’d be Hillary – Trump Tower meetings, dozens of meetings with Kislyak, secret meetings in the Seychelles, Flynn lying to FBI, Manafort’s bloody Ukraine exposure, shall I go on…?. I’d say we’re not doing as badly as the MSM tells you in spite of the orange baboon in the White House.

    1. Wow! Way to spin the facts to fit your own particular narrative, and that of the die-hard Dems. But far be it from me to destroy your personal bubble.

      1. New Jersey, Virginia, Alabama… South Dakota tends to run a bit behind national trends, but Democratic candidates are picking up seats elsewhere. Some of us aren’t content with being 50th in everything, so we’ll keep pushing.

        1. Isn’t this thread about South Dakota? Or do you feel so bad about the dem-draught in SD, that you need to grab elections from other states?

  8. I don’t see much movement of more people getting in on the constitutional front. Maybe for the AG race, but we have a good state of candidates here. Any credible roomers for these other offices outside of talk?

    1. There were contested races for SOS, auditor and treasurer in 2010. The GOP is dominant now and only AG has a contested race?

      I would have thought there would be more interest.

    2. I’m going to go out on a limb and say delegates, legislators and states attorneys are not totally satisfied in 2 races yet: AG and Auditor. There will be at least 2 more candidates coming forward. I dont have a clue who unless the Seward rumor is true. I’ve heard the Sec of State rumor but never any names.

      Rhoden gets attention once in a while for a statewide office.

      Hard to believe the only contested race is for AG.

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