Washington based Roll Call has an article out this AM as to possible contenders for the Congressional seat being vacated by Congresswoman (And Gubernatorial contender) Kristi Noem in 2018. Who are they hearing could run for the seat?
- Secretary of State Shantel Krebs, who previously served 10 years in the state legislature.
- Dusty Johnson, the former chief of staff to Gov. Dennis Daugaard. He left the governor’s office in 2014 to become the director of consulting for Vantage Point Solutions, an engineering and consulting company. He previously headed the Public Utilities Commission, an elected position.
- Current Public Utilities Commissioner and former Secretary of State Chris Nelson. He was considered the front-runner for the at-large congressional seat six years ago before Noem defeated him in the primary.
- State Sen. R. Blake Curd, who also ran for the seat in 2010.
- Former state Sen. Larry Rhoden, who just won a seat in the state House. He ran for the seat junior Sen. Michael Rounds won in 2014 and could throw his hat in the ring for the at-large congressional seat.
- Former state Rep. Stace Nelson, who was elected to the state Senate this year. He also ran for the U.S. Senate in 2014 and could run for the at-large seat.
Read it all here.
I think they’re on in some places, but off on their calculus in others. Dusty Johnson and Shantel Krebs are clearly in the hunt, Dusty moreso that Shantel at this point. But the article omits Senator-elect Neal Tapio who was Trump’s campaign person in SD.
Chris Nelson was just re-elected. But if you look back to his prior congressional effort, I don’t know if he could find a path forward that would give him any greater appeal to state voters in a primary.
I don’t know if Blake Curd would want to take the pay cut, and he’s taken a lot on professionally in the intervening years. He may not be at a point in his life when he can.
Now, Larry Rhoden was noticed working the room hard at a recent event. He might have a potential interest in the race. His handicap is the same one he faced when he placed second in the US Senate, in that East River voters don’t know him.
Any movements of Stace Nelson in the race would probably be a non-starter outside of a small circle of confederates. His third place finish in the US Senate contest underlined that while he has a small circle of fervent workers, he wasn’t able to raise the level of money needed for a statewide contest. And there’s the part about South Dakota’s sitting Senators (Rounds and Thune) who would both probably make a point to get involved in the race to oppose him for Nelson’s attacks on them.
I could go on, but you get the point.
I think we will see others putting out feelers for the congressional contest, but it’s a looong way off.