Glad to see things don’t change.
Always glad to see that as much as things change, there are always some things that stay the same.
Some people are sore losers. Some are sore winners. And some are just sore.
Always glad to see that as much as things change, there are always some things that stay the same.
Some people are sore losers. Some are sore winners. And some are just sore.
A friend pointed out to me this AM that out of 6 incumbent senators up for election last night, there was only one incumbent Senator – Bruce Rampelberg – who was fired from being a State Senator last night.
And as I’ve noted before, he was a supporter of a corporate income tax, & legalizing pot to a degree. Otherwise, that was it. In D7, Tidemann returns, D9 Deb Peters returns, D32 Alan Solano returns, D33 Phil Jensen returns, and D35 Terri Haverly returns.
That doesn’t translate to a lot of people looking for drastic change in the status quo.
Arguably, you might have been able to call the 2016 GOP Senate Primary races last month with the exception of Sly/Jensen. The House primary races? That’s a horse of a different color, as results seems to have come out all over the place.
While they largely leaned towards the familiar, they weren’t afraid to try something new if the candidate showed that they were willing to go out after it.
District 3 – Dennert & Kaiser over Kolden.
District 11 – Karr & Willadsen over Landry.
District 14 – Holmes and Zikmund over Zimbeck
District 16 – Jensen and Anderson over Shorma
District 19 – Schoenfish and Peterson over Osborn
District 23 – Lake and Gosch over Werner & Hoffman
District 25 – Hunt and Pischke over Ecklund
District 28B – Marty over Wagner
District 30 – Frye-Mueller & Goodwin over Oakes, Mounce and Lasseter
District 31 – Johns & Turbiville over Weyrich
District 32 – Conzet and McPherson over Ericks
District 33 – David Johnson and Howard over Buckingham
If anyone has any thoughts on a universal explanation as to why the house races went as they did aside from the efforts the candidates put into it, I’m open to discussion. I don’t think there’s any unifying theme other than going out and doing the hard work.
Interesting note in the Argus this AM:
A Republican state senator survived a primary challenge from a former lawmaker who sought to connect with Donald Trump supporters and other anti-establishment voters.
Sen. Deb Peters of Hartford received 56 percent of 1,010 votes cast in the District 9 primary, defeating Lora Hubbel, who earned 43 percent of the vote.
“I think it just proves that the positive messaging works,” Peters said Tuesday night.
and…
Hubbel blamed her loss in part on Republican bloggers, which she called the “ogres of the Republican party.”
Read it all here. Upon reading this in the Argus this am, an artistic friend was kind enough to send this over..
Well, you do know Ogres are like onions. We have many layers.
Getting out of the brain of Lora Hubbel, and back into reality, the reality was that this was her petty way of trying to portray her ill-fortunes in the race. She didn’t lose the race, as much as Deb Peters dominated it.
Deb Peters absolutely worked her butt off as hard as I’ve ever seen any candidate run, and she did an exemplary job. At the same time Lora brought crazy, unfounded smears.
Believe me, I’d love to say it was all my doing. I’d wear it as a feather in my Twins cap. But I can’t in all honesty do so, because it was all Deb, and Lora wasn’t competing at anything resembling a competent level.
Now that the rubble has settled, with the exception of the Sly/Jensen race, were there any real surprises last night? Many of the old hands at politics I talk to, along with myself, don’t think so.
Moving into Tuesday night, you have what you’d like to see, versus what you want to have happen. District 19 was a perfect example of that. Stace Nelson was just coming off of a statewide election, and is arguably one of, if not the dirtiest campaigner in the State. If there’s a place most candidates won’t go, that’s not a problem for him. He faced off against Caleb Finck, the candidate many observers and those involved in the process wanted to win.
The race was always Stace’s to lose, and it was clear he was doing his damndest to move it in that direction with the most negative mailer that people can remember sent by his close allies, and a bizarre Robocall where he kept talking about panties. At the same time his opponent blanketed the district with radio, mail, & newspaper, and an uninvited card came into the district to counter the ultra-negative pro-Nelson mailer
When the dust settled, Nelson still won. But the former congressional candidate lost 2 important counties, showing surprising vulnerability as he found Finck far closer than anyone should be to a person who placed third in a statewide Congressional race. With two more weeks of campaigning, it could have been a different race, as things were NOT trending Nelson’s way.
With the dust settling, Finck might not have the actual victory, but he has the moral one, and is going to be a go-to when a district seat next needs a candidate.
On the other hand, Nelson is being his usual self, and alienating anyone he might need to call on help from moving into the general election. If Dems change out their placeholder to Frank Kloucek or other notable Democrat, this seat could seriously be in play, as Nelson is likely to receive no help from the GOP structure.
If that was the moral upset of the night, Sly/Jensen was the only real one. Given Phil Jensen’s penchant for utterly cringeworthy racially tinged statements that receive national-level ridicule, that race should have been Sly’s to lose. From generous donors who were weary of Jensen, she had all the money she needed. Yet it imploded in her face during the last few weeks.
A major salvo came from controversial Sly ally Stan Adelstein, accusing Jensen of being a conscientious objector in the Vietnam war. It hit Jensen, but it also energized Jensen supporters, who hit back in various ways, and gave a rallying cry for Jensen’s ground troops who mobilized to go to work.
The Vietnam ad was followed by an ad from Jensen supporters which was quickly taken offline, as one person described it to me as “making the Barnett/Kirby skin theft ad look tame.
From a distance, it seemed as if Sly was running a top down campaign relying on advertising, an expensive website, etc, but with nothing to back it up on the ground. And in the face of mobilized Jensen supporters, it withered.
The Russell/Rampelberg race was never in doubt once Russell, a former SDGOP ED, got motivated. Rampelberg’s support of the education tax plan which cost his District teachers was a career killer by itself. Coupled with back to back sponsorships of income tax bills in 2015 and 2016, anyone could have challenged Rampelberg, but he faced far worse – an experienced politico who has never been afraid to make waves, and knows how to run a race.
As for the rest, again, I’m not seeing any big surprises. I’ll talk about some more races later this am.. Time to get out of bed and start the day!
Lance Russell won his race for Senate and underlined it with a 59-41% win. But the House race may be a recount that’s closer than the last one, with 15 votes between 2nd and 3rd place.
One of my favorite legislators Terri Haverly, has won a second term of office over challenger Tina Mulally, according to the SOS:
Congratulations Terri!
Apparently people DO want their children to be vaccinated.
Thank God. I wasn’t looking forward to that kind of crazy for 2 years.
Update: It’s all the uninformed people’s fault. And my fault. Of course it’s my fault.
Although, I couldn’t ask what I’m allegedly lying about, because she banned me from her facebook page for challenging her odd notions back when she was running for Governor.