It’s interesting that the post I did on what could shake out for 2018 rocketed up to be one of the more popular posts of the last 30 days. And it bears out what one of my correspondents was noting this evening.
The question was “Everyone still talking 2018 out there?” And I truthfully had to respond – “Yep. 2016 is over already.” And that seems to be the general mood. The 2016 election is just a minor speed bump towards the next big election. Some people are folding up the chairs, and have started putting them away when it comes to state elections.
Democrats have practically run out of time to find (a) a credible candidate, and (b) someone who could raise anything close to what Senator Thune has in the bank already. In everyone’s minds, for all practical purposes. It’s done.
In Congress, they’re putting state income tax loving, pro-planned parenthood, only won her last election by 9 votes, Paula Hawks up against Congresswoman Kristi Noem who is literally at the height of her game, still riding the crest of her huge win on the farm bill, and now serves on the ways and means committee. In everyone’s minds, for all practical purposes. check that race off the list too. It’s also done.
What does that leave Dems? Chris Nelson for PUC. (What was I saying about this election being done?), and the state legislature where Republicans have a built in expectation we’re going to lose a couple, because the numbers are already impossibly and un-naturally high. The bigger shock is that the electorate keeps giving us Republicans those kind of numbers.
It’s not like Democrats disagree. They spend their time on ballot measures instead of candidates. They know they’ve already lost those races. Maybe they can pass a law or two by circumventing the legislative process. (Yay, self-back slapping by the activists, while they wonder why their registration numbers keep cratering, and question why no one wants to be a Democrat.)
So no wonder everyone keep talking about 2018. People are looking for some speculation. Some gamesmanship, and wrangling. Some good, old-fashioned politicking. We enjoy that. It’s a pastime of many in the state. So, when we talk about it, it piques people’s interest because it represents the unknown – the future that keeps evolving and changing with every little twist and turn.
But not 2016. Shoot – The 2016 election is already over in people’s eyes. Thune, Noem, Nelson, and a Republican Supermajority. It doesn’t take a rocket scientist to call that one. Everyone agrees, and they’re already moving on to the big show in ’18.