Now, I heard an interesting rumor today. Rounds considering a return to Governor’s office?

I heard an interesting rumor today.

There’s a lot of chatter in politics about what’s going to happen in the next election.. or farther beyond.

For the races that are up in 2024, let’s not kid ourselves. It’s as off as an off-year comes.  There will be a Public Utilities Commission race, which we anticipate will be helmed by PUC Commissioner Kristie Fiegen. Congressman Dusty Johnson will be up again, and maybe Democrats will finally run a candidate. Or maybe not. More likely he may be challenged from the hard-right, again. And they’ll fare poorly, again. While consultants suck up al their cash. Again.

I’ve always said 2026 will be the “big one.” Arguably the one that will be re-writing the state’s political map, with the Constitutional Offices mostly all fielding new candidates. And at the very top of the ticket for the big three (US Senate, Congress, and Governor) I have always thought that we will likely be looking at a huge change point.  It will be a generational change for all of South Dakota politics.

Governor Kristi Noem will be termed out (unless she’s no longer Governor, and has been tapped for something greater). Mike Rounds’ US Senate Seat will be up, and we don’t know if he will run again. And many believe that 2026 will be the year that there are better than even odds that Congressman Dusty Johnson might just take the leap and run to become South Dakota’s next Governor.

But… wait a minute. There’s another rumor that’s been bubbling around the Capitol this week.

There a rumor out there saying that there’s a possibility that current US Senator Mike Rounds might be looking at the race like a modern day Bill Janklow, and coming back to run for Governor again in 2026 when Kristi Noem is termed out. That’s interesting to say the least.  The announcements for 2026 will start coming as soon as November or December 2024. 21 months away.

If he was to do it, Rounds running for Governor again would bring with it a number of challenges that he didn’t face before.

His base of support would be shared with that of Congressman Dusty Johnson. Which could be further complicated from a challenge from the far-right that may emerge in this current and turbulent chapter within the SDGOP.

If the rumor has a ring of truth to it, if he ran, Rounds would be running to be the oldest Governor in South Dakota State History, clocking in at 72 years old, five years older than South Dakota’s current oldest Governor, Walter Dale Miller, when Walt took office. In a 2026 GOP Gubernatorial primary, Rounds would most likely be running against Dusty Johnson who would turn 50 on the tail end of the campaign, about the middle of the pack for our Governors when it comes to age at Inaugural, (Between Vessey and Gubbrud).

We’ve got 21 months to countdown until people are going to get serious about who will run for Governor. But if Rounds gets in the race, it will be an unexpected wrinkle that will cause people to rework predictions and the calculus of the race.

Release: Rounds, Capito and Colleagues Formally Challenge Biden WOTUS Rule through Congressional Review Act

Rounds, Capito and Colleagues Formally Challenge Biden WOTUS Rule through Congressional Review Act

WASHINGTON – U.S. Senator Mike Rounds (R-S.D.) joined Senator Shelley Moore Capito (R-W.Va.) and all Senate Republicans in formally challenging the Biden Administration’s Waters of the United States (WOTUS) rule through a Congressional Review Act (CRA) joint resolution of disapproval.

The resolution comes after the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) and the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers (Army Corps) announced a new rule in December 2022 repealing the Navigable Waters Protection Rule (NWPR) and changing the WOTUS definition to expand federal regulatory authority over waters and wetlands that should be left to the control of states and landowners.

“For too long, South Dakota producers have been subject to a number of complex and burdensome WOTUS rule changes,” said Rounds. “Unfortunately, the Biden administration’s recent reiteration of the WOTUS rule will only lead to further regulatory headaches. No one knows their land better than those who work it and the Senate should come together to support landowners by rescinding this regulatory overreach.”

“With its overreaching navigable waters rule, the Biden administration upended regulatory certainty and placed unnecessary burdens directly on millions of Americans,” said Capito. “This Congressional Review Act resolution of disapproval will give every member of Congress the chance to stand with farmers, ranchers, landowners, and builders, and protect future transportation, infrastructure, and energy projects of all kinds in their states. I appreciate the widespread support we’ve received in both the Senate and House, and across the country, as we fight to place an important check on this misguided overreach from the Biden administration.”

Congressman Sam Graves (R-MO), Chairman of the House Committee on Transportation and Infrastructure (T&I), leads an identical resolution in the House of Representatives.

Click here for the text of the resolution. Click here for a one-pager.

BACKGROUND:

  • In 2015, the Obama administration finalized a rule that expanded the definition of WOTUS, creating confusion and burdensome red tape, especially for South Dakota’s agricultural communities.
  • The Trump administration released a proposed rule to replace the 2015 WOTUS rule with a new one that provided much-needed predictability and certainty for farmers by establishing clear and reasonable definitions of what qualifies as a “water of the United States.” The NWPR was finalized in 2020.
  • On day one of his administration, President Biden signed an executive order to begin the process of rolling back the Trump administration’s NWPR.
  • In December 2022, the EPA issued a new rule repealing the NWPR and changing the definition of WOTUS in a way that will expand federal regulatory authority.

While SD House kills an update after 22 years, Federal Elections Commission raises contribution rates because of inflation.

While the South Dakota House of Representatives kills an update of South Dakota Campaign Finance Laws after 22 years of them being the same, today the Federal Elections Commission raised contribution rates because of inflation.

From Open Secrets:

Following historic 8% inflation in 2022, the Federal Election Commission announced new contribution limits for the 2024 election cycle on Thursday.

The Bipartisan Campaign Reform Act of 2002 established limits for contributions by individuals to candidates and national party committees starting with the 2004 election cycle. The commission increases contribution limits every odd-numbered year to reflect changes in inflation. Inflation skyrocketed in 2022 to the highest level in four decades, and unprecedented contribution limit increases reflect the historic economic heat.

Individual donors can now give $3,300 per candidate per election, an unprecedented $400 increase from $2,900 during the 2022 election cycle. That means between the primary and general elections, a donor can give a candidate up to $6,600 — or $9,900 if a race advances to a runoff.

Read that here.

And if you’re looking for the full chart:

More on Julie Frye Mueller scandal: New article on legislation and lobbying activities.

The Dakota Scout has a new article today regarding something I’ve been writing about for a couple of days – namely new scrutiny over Julie Frye Mueller’s husband’s activities which are taking place concurrently with his work as a lobbyist, and acting as her legislative liaison to LRC:

“When will the attacks end?” Frye-Mueller asked in a statement issued Wednesday evening, noting the proposed ban on lawmaker spouses doubling as lobbyists.

and

“Are you a spouse or a lobbyists? Because it was hard to tell,” Rohl said. “My bill is to start a conversation related to the appropriateness, and conflicts of interest of having the ability to claim both spousal and lobbyists privileges simultaneously.”

Read the entire story here.

Attorney General Submits Budget Request to Joint Appropriations Committee

Attorney General Submits Budget Request to Joint Appropriations Committee

PIERRE, S.D. – South Dakota Attorney General Marty Jackley Thursday presented a budget recommendation of almost $35 million to the legislative Joint Appropriations Committee for its consideration.

“This fiscal year 2024 budget request meets the day-to-day needs of the office and its programs that ensure public safety in our communities,” said Attorney General Jackley.  “While many people know about our criminal and civil litigation efforts, we also are involved in areas such as forensic testing, consumer protection, elderly abuse, and law enforcement training.”

Among the one-time budget requests the Attorney General presented to the committee was $3.5 million for a computerized criminal history system and more than $370,000 for digital radios. On-going budget requests include $626,000 for maintenance of the computerized criminal history system, almost $140,000 for miscellaneous operating expenses and $338,000 for federal fund expenditure authority.

“We appreciate the discussion with the legislative committee today and their interest in the Attorney General’s office and public safety,” said Jackley. “Our goal is to be efficient with the taxpayer dollars we are given and use those funds to protect the people of South Dakota.”

The Joint Appropriations Committee will make final budget decisions at a later date.

-30-

Gov. Noem Signs Bills into Law

Gov. Noem Signs Bills into Law

PIERRE, S.D. – Governor Kristi Noem has signed several bills into law.

On Wednesday, Governor Noem signed SB 2, which revises Department of Corrections reporting requirements concerning abuse and neglect of individuals in private contracted facilities.

Today, Governor Noem signed the following four bills into law:

  • SB 22, which streamlines examination reports;
  • SB 26, which transfers a property tax relief program, changes income requirements for certain property tax relief programs, and indexes certain income schedules to inflation;
  • SB 29, which revises certain references to the Internal Revenue Code; and,
  • SB 43, which revises certain provisions regarding money transmission.

Governor Noem has signed seven bills into law this legislative session.

###

VICE.com identifies prominent Neo-Nazi Podcaster & vetting agent for white supremacists as being located here in Brookings, SD

I read this yesterday and was a bit shocked.

Vice.com is identifying a Brookings, SD man as a neo-Nazi & the “go to guy” for vetting new white supremacist recruits:

A prominent neo-Nazi recruiter and podcast host has been unmasked as a 29-year-old South Dakota man whose podcasts, until today, were widely available on popular platforms like Audible, Deezer, and Spotify. These slickly produced podcasts have helped promote dozens of neo-Nazis and white supremacist groups, including a Nazi homeschool network based in Ohio.

and..

Riggin Lynn Scheer, from Brookings, South Dakota, has been operating in the midwest under the name “Gordon Kahl,” in homage to the original Kahl who was a neo Nazi and anti-government protester from North Dakota who ultimately was shot and killed by law enforcement during a shootout in northern Arkansas in 1983.

and..

Scheer has been active in the midwest’s neo-Nazi space for years. National white supremacist groups have used Scheer as their go-to person in the Midwest when they needed new members vetted, according to the researchers who have been tracking Scheer’s career for years.

Read the entire article here.

Well, that might explain a couple of incidents that have happened around the community from time to time.

Scary and highly unusual stuff for South Dakota’s largest University community.

Campaign finance revision bill scuttled based on liberal talking points, ignoring facts and inflation.

The South Dakota State House killed a long overdue bill this week to revise campaign finance limits to be more in line with vastly higher costs for advertising, postage, signs, stakes, etcetera., based on a lot of faux populism and liberal talking points.

The bill, sponsored by Republican Rep. Roger Chase, of Huron, would have increased contribution limits to statewide candidates from $4,000 to $5,000, and doubled the limit in legislative and county races from $1,000 to $2,000. The increase applies to the statute governing limits for individuals as well as entities such as corporations and nonprofits.

“The last time that this increased was 22 years ago,” Rep. Gary Cammack, a Republican from Union Center, said in favor of the change. “Consider the inflation that has occurred in running a campaign: the cost of radio, television, newspapers and postcards.”

and..

Hansen worried that “big corporate interests” would be among the only beneficiaries of the increase and would turn legislative attention away from constituents.

“If we’re honest, I guarantee you that most of your ordinary, everyday constituents don’t even have $1,000,” Hansen said. “But you know who does? Corporate interests.”

Read that here, and try not to barf.

I can’t help but roll my eyes, because the outcome of this bill was not based on logic.

It was killed because it served the narrow interests of a few, as opposed being appropriate for the times, to making the process more accessible, and was based on talking points as opposed to reason.

 

Costs have gone up over the past 22 years. Way up. But not as much for those already elected.

As Representative Cammack pointed out, the last time the campaign finance limits were increased was over twenty years ago. As someone who deals with campaign materials and mailings, I can guarantee that things have skyrocketed in cost in the intervening years.

Costs go up every year. In the case of this last election due to Bidenflation and oil prices, Sign prices have absolutely skyrocketed, they went up at the start of 2022, and then again after the primary.  Due to steel and shipping shortages in 2022, the basic economy yard sign stakes that were $1 became $2.

Over the past 20 years, postage has gone up…

year first class
postage rate,
cents (current)
2003 .37
2004 .37
2005 .37
2006 .39
2007 .41
2008 .42
2009 .44
2010 .44
2011 .44
2012 .45
2013 .46
2014 .49
2015 .49
2016 .47
2017 .49
2018 .50
2019 .55
2020 .55
2021 .55
2022 May .58

Postage also took another jump in July of this last year, and based on recent post office news, you will see them take another bump up to $.63 cents. I would fully anticipate that with current trends, we will see at least another bump before 2024.  There are hard costs that many campaigns experience, and the challenges to raise money just sets the bar to run for office much higher.

When the legislature refuses to look at 20-year-old campaign finance limits, they skip over the fact that in doing so, there is a strong element of self-protection that goes into it. The power of incumbency is a tough one to overcome. And going along with that is the fact that just about all of the legislators voting against it not only have established name ID, but they already have a stock of reusable signs and stakes and other materials – hard costs that almost all start-up campaigns have to spend money on that they don’t.

 

The ridiculous “Corporate Interests” argument against the bill was not based in truth.

Further underlining the point why this was a bad vote – the utterly ridiculous claim that somehow by raising campaign finance limits, it’s going to bring “big corporate interests” in.  Tell me another scary bedtime story. 

On a federal level, corporations have gotten even more squeamish about corporate donations. As noted in the Harvard Business Review:

Perhaps most important, political donations greatly heighten corporate risk. In an era when customers, employees, and investors are increasingly scrutinizing companies’ records on employee, environmental, social, and governance issues (we prefer the term EESG over the more common ESG, to appropriately emphasize the importance of employees), the threat of blowback from political contributions has become too great for executives to ignore.

Read the article here.

Despite the legal framework in place to allow it now, corporations donate even less to state and legislative political campaigns. It is as rare as hen’s teeth.

The hands down champion in legislative fundraising this last election was State Representative Tony Venhuizen.  As a former Regent, son-in-law to former Governor Daugaard, Long-time campaign worker, Tony arguably has among the best fundraising success of all other people in the South Dakota Legislature, raising an absolutely staggering $126,301 in funds for his State Legislative campaign effort. How much of that came from corporate dollars?

$1450. Approximately 1.1%. Try not to gasp and be shocked over that corporate donation of $50. 

If opponents to the measure are going to do all their pearl-clutching regarding “corporate interests” based on 1.1% of what the most successful legislative campaign this year raised, they need to have their heads examined. Do they fear it doubling to 2.2% in the next election?

 

If they are that concerned, why don’t they improve disclosure?

While they stand opposed to modernizing campaign finance limits, you can’t help but notice that the enforcement of the rules we have is kind of hit and miss.

In the past when the Secretary of State put in place a system to track candidate campaign finances – one which caught when donations went over certain amounts – legislators hated it, and pilloried the office for the system. Incoming Secretary of State Monae Johnson has expressed an interest in returning to that kind of system, and that’s one of the best things she could do, but that may be some time off until the staffing issues that her office has been experiencing stabilizes.

Moreso than bemoaning “corporate interests” in a demonstrably false manner than are donating far less than anyone else to state political campaigns, open government and full disclosure are far better tools to rely on.

 

Just as we increase allowances for the inflation of prices in the modern economy, while it might not be the most popular subject in the world, it’s not an unreasonable thing to allow the support that people give to political campaigns to slightly increase in value over the course of 22 years.

Falsely bemoaning an increase in the amount individuals are allowed to donate as somehow enhancing “corporate interests” rather than the actual inflationary increase it is?

Well, it’s less about protecting the world from the “corporate interests” than it is about protecting those currently in office and their own self-interest.