Reports that Democrat party to be cut from moorings again and left rudderless as Seiler notes departure. The Democrat Party continues to be in serious trouble in the state.

I caught this tidbit the other day as South Dakota Democrats started examining their performances and pointing fingers after their performance on November 8th noting their fortunes have not changed as once again the GOP hammered them up and down the ladder in South Dakota. As noted at the Democrat blog SD Standard..

SDDP Chairman Randy Seiler chose not to challenge his friend Marty Jackley for attorney general, allowing Jackley to return to his old job without a contest. Seiler plans to retire, leaving the state party in flux yet again.

Read that here.

At the same time they feel they have to bring up Randy not running for Attorney General because Marty Jackley is a friend, they pointed out that he’s planning to retire. After Seiler financially righted their ship, including putting his name on a loan, that statement is not exactly dripping with gratitude for taking on a nigh-impossible task. There isn’t much discussion as to who is interested in taking over the position, as they face the same challenges that the past few Democrat Party chairs have faced, and even if they’re registered that way, not many people want to identify with the Democrat Party, much less run as a candidate championing their views.  What are those challenges?

#1 – While Democrats have focused on ballot measures, no one has been doing any party building.

And it shows.   In fact, I have a chart..

 

That chart is not what Democrats are wanting to see. As of today, Democrat registration is outpacing Independents by only 5900 voters. Compare that to 2006, there was a gap of over 116,000 voters. How do you lose 110,000 voters? On an annual basis, that’s losing a little less than 7000 voters a year, but over time it adds up until you’re in big trouble. At this rate, at some point in 2023, maybe early 2024, Democrats will be third behind independents.   During the same period of time, Republicans have gained 50,000 voters.  Now, it would be nice if the GOP could grab a bigger share, but it’s less critical for us as we’re trending in the right direction while Democrats are headed for a major crash.

For a couple of decades now, Democrats have put their eggs in the basket of ballot measures, feeling that will help them with lists and recruitment. If they haven’t figured it out by now that was and continues to be a fools’ errand. People aren’t going to switch parties on the basis of one issue, whether it’s pot, abortion, teacher pay, etcetera.

Disagree? Don’t take my word for it, look at the squiggly line in the chart.

 

#2 – You are guaranteed to lose every race you don’t field a candidate for.  

In April of 2022, Democrats left a staggering 23 Senate seats uncontested. 23! Literally, they abandoned even running for over 65% of the Senate seats available.  Democrats were slightly better in the House races, where they skipped nine House seats at the time. They ended up losing several more because a number of their candidates were just placeholders who dropped out.

Let me remind you what Democrat Leadership had to say about that:

“I think we would always love to have more candidates,” Berk Ehrmantraut, the South Dakota Democratic Party Executive Director, told KELOLAND News. “I think we’ve set ourselves up to be really competitive and pick up some seats this year in the legislature.”

and..

While Democrats will leave 23 Senate seats and nine House seats uncontested, Ehrmantraut said having more than 50 candidates for state Senate or House was in the range the party was aiming for.

Read that here.

Abandoning 23 Senate seats is “competitive?” I don’t really think so. The term I’m more apt to use is that it’s a total ****-show.  When they say they were set to pick up some seats, it ended up that a House seat was traded for a Senate seat to maintain net numbers of Democrats across the entire legislature, granting Republicans continued and total dominance.  Democrats need to actually pay attention to recruiting more than just talking their current crop of interns into running until they find someone better.

 

#3 – Who exactly is the base of the Democrat party in South Dakota? Because even they don’t seem to be sure.

I can tell you that the South Dakota Republican Party is very glad to focus on issues of agriculture, ethanol, seniors, workforce, etc., while Democrats focus on pronoun use, drag shows, and protests that devolve into riots. It’s like they don’t know who they want to represent. Remember when Democrat Taneeza Islam went after bonus pay for city employees in the last Sioux Falls Mayoral Election? She raised the ire of South Dakota Federation of Labor who blasted her. You know you’re in trouble as a Democrat when the labor unions go after you.

Don’t forget Democrats’ fading memories about people who go to church, as in their platform plank this past year where they attack religion noting “we respect individual conscience and we will not allow religious ideology to infringe on one’s basic human rights.” You have to go out of your way to take a dig at “religious ideology,” and Democrats are happy to do so.  It’s as if they have forgotten the very people who once made up their base in South Dakota, abandoning those people and their values in favor of a national woke agenda.

Democrat politics as of late seem to focus mainly on more urban areas to the exclusion of everything that’s not focused on young people in Sioux Falls. While Democrats have gone woke, Republicans have been able to make inroads into areas Democrats once had exclusive control over. District 1 which contains the Sisseton-Whapeton Oyate is not just represented by three Republicans, but part of that group are two House members who are both Native American, a group that Democrats once enjoyed the exclusive support of. Democrats are in really big trouble if Republicans can continue to make inroads into the state’s Native American population, which we will. Faith and family are very important to large swaths of the GOP and Native Americans alike, and there are issues they can and will continue to find common ground on.

If you think about it, the last Democrat officeholder who successfully navigated the traditional Democrat constituencies in South Dakota was arguably Stephanie Herseth Sandlin. But even she eventually succumbed to the combination of a wave election, as well as members of her own party directly throwing her under the bus for trying to navigate the minefield between traditional old-school Dems and the cadre of the woke. While some Democrats may reminisce about her time in office and long for thoughts of her return, they’re forgetting that they only narrowly averted a primary challenge against her from the left, prior to her being voted out of office.

Their basic problem is that Democrats need to figure out who they want to represent and why.  As noted by one, apparently reluctant Democrat at the onset of the election..

Heenan, who ran for a spot on the Pennington County commission as an independent in 2018, said she reluctantly switched from an independent to Democrat a month ago. She said the national tone of the Democratic Party is not applicable or appropriate to South Dakota, but said running as an independent for state office was not efficient.

Read that here.

That’s a pretty good summary. Do they want to be a party representing South Dakotans who vote, or the people who make tiktok videos all day? Because the latter isn’t putting anyone into office, and it is turning people off.

 

Until the South Dakota Democrat party is willing to pay attention to business of a state political party, actually run candidates, and represent the viewpoints of the residents of South Dakota, I don’t think they’re going to change their fortunes, and be competitive in state elections.

Think there are other reasons for the Democrat party’s steep decline in the state and what they need to fix? The floor is yours.

Former Speaker of the House Deb Anderson passes away.

(h/t SoDak Governors)

South Dakota’s first and only female Speaker of the House to date, Debra Anderson has passed away at her home after a long life in public service to South Dakota and our country .

Debra Rae Anderson, 73, passed away Thursday, November 10, 2022 at her home in Washington, DC.

Debra was born June 13, 1949 in Bryant, South Dakota to Dean and Marilyn Anderson. She was baptized and confirmed in the Lutheran faith. Debra graduated from Bryant High School in 1967 and cum laude from Augustana College in Sioux Falls, SD in 1971.

Debra entered the political arena with her election to the South Dakota House of Representatives in 1976. She became South Dakota’s first woman Speaker of the House in 1987. Debra resigned from the South Dakota House of Representatives in 1989 when President George H.W. Bush appointed her as Deputy Assistant to the President and Director of Intergovernmental Affairs in The White House.

You can read the entire obituary here.

Deb was a tremendous and no-nonsense leader, and I remember her as Speaker when I was a lowly intern way, way back in 1988.

Both she and her father, Dean Anderson, who served in the House and as SD Secretary of Ag from 1995-1996, served South Dakota well during their time in State Government.  Please keep Deb’s family in your prayers today.

Kristi Noem says Republicans’ job “is not just to talk to people who love Trump or hate Trump”

Governor Kristi Noem spoke to a reporter while at the Republican Governors Association today and echoed what many Republicans are thinking. That the Republican Party is more than just Donald Trump.

Noem told The New York Times on Wednesday that she didn’t think the former president, who filed paperwork Tuesday for another White House run, offered the “best chance” for the Republican Party in 2024.

“If we narrow our focus there, then we’re not talking to every single American. Our job is not just to talk to people who love Trump or hate Trump. Our job is to talk to every single American,” Noem told the Times while she was in Florida for the Republican Governor’s Association meeting.

Read it all here.

Republicans, what do you think? A replay of Donald Trump in 2024 or should we give Ron DeSantis a try?

So, after a tough election day last week across much of the country where Republicans were expected to do much better, despite some advising him to the contrary, and some even blaming him for the GOP not doing as well as he should have, President Trump announced his re-election yesterday. And not everyone is excited.

Has the GOP run it’s course with Trump, or can he excite Republican voters to put him back in the White House? At the same time, some look to Florida Governor Ron DeSantis as an attractive alternative, including members of the Texas GOP:

Read that here.

Could DeSantis bring some of the party back who took a pass on election night (in both 2022 and 2020)?

Or are we better off giving Trump another go?

The floor is yours.

Thune Statement on Reelection as Republican Whip

Thune Statement on Reelection as Republican Whip

“… I look forward to working with our entire conference as we unite in our fight to advance Republican principles and deliver commonsense solutions for families, farmers, and businesses across the country, especially those throughout South Dakota.”

WASHINGTON — U.S. Sen. John Thune (R-S.D.) today released the following statement after he was unanimously reelected by the Senate Republican Conference to serve a third term as whip for the 118th Congress:

“I am humbled and honored that my colleagues in the Senate Republican Conference have once again elected me to serve as whip,” said Thune. “I congratulate the newest members of our leadership team, Senators Capito and Daines, and I look forward to working with our entire conference as we unite in our fight to advance Republican principles and deliver commonsense solutions for families, farmers, and businesses across the country, especially those throughout South Dakota. Let’s get to work.”

In addition to serving as the Republican whip, a position he’s held since 2019, Thune has previously served as chairman of the Senate Republican Conference (SRC), SRC vice chairman, and chairman of the Senate Republican Policy Committee. Thune currently serves on the Agriculture, Nutrition, and Forestry Committee; the Committee on Finance; and the Commerce, Science, and Transportation Committee.

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With a campaign based against pipelines, how did Jeff Barth fare in pipeline country? Not so well.

In the general election  last week, one of the races had a particularly specific focus as Public Utilities Candidate Jeff Barth – almost to the exclusion of all else – ran his campaign on the basis of one issue. Barth ran on opposition to the pipelines currently being proposed and surveyed for transporting captured carbon to North Dakota where it would be stored in the ground. As noted in one story which talked about the Barth campaign adopting this as an issue..

In a press conference Thursday, Barth voiced his opposition to the Summit Carbon Solutions Pipeline. The project would transport liquified carbon dioxide through South Dakota for injection into underground geological formations in North Dakota.

Some farmers along the pipeline’s proposed route are concerned about its environmental impact. They’re also concerned that eminent domain will be used to obtain right-of-way for the pipeline without landowners’ consent.

“These pipelines will scar our land forever, and threaten our very lives,” Barth said. “No eminent domain for private gain.”

and..

Barth described his Republican opponent as a “nice guy,” but criticized him for not doing enough to prevent eminent domain from being used to build the pipeline.

Read that story here.

Barth literally ran every aspect of his campaign as a counterpoint to the pipeline. But did opposing the pipeline affect his campaign whatsoever?

Looking at a map of the counties that the Summit Carbon Solutions Pipeline will be operating in..

.. how did Barth do?

According to unofficial figures from the Secretary of State, from the counties that Summit self-identified as part of their operating areas:

County Chris  Nelson Jeffrey  Barth Barth %
Beadle 4,163 1,461 26%
Brown (Vote Center) 8,946 4,280 32%
Clark 1,210 297 20%
Codington 7,729 2,583 25%
Edmunds 1,316 290 18%
Faulk 780 131 14%
Hamlin 2,141 446 17%
Hand 1,159 282 20%
Hyde (Vote Center) 436 119 21%
Kingsbury 1,848 554 23%
Lake 3,369 1,325 28%
Lincoln 17,898 8,462 32%
McCook 1,898 523 22%
McPherson 882 186 17%
Miner 738 203 22%
Minnehaha 41,364 28,572 41%
Sully (Vote Center) 619 154 20%
Turner 2,958 756 20%
TOTAL 99,454 50,624 34%

There was not a single county along the pipeline route that Barth won. His best showing came in Minnehaha County where he had been a County Commissioner for several years, but where he still only achieved 41%.

In several of the counties, he was defeated by margins of 2, 3, 4 and 5 to 1 against his Republican opponent Chris Nelson, who pledged to hear all matters in front of the Public Utilities Commission without preconceived notion or prejudice.

In fact, none of the 4 counties where Barth led (Buffalo, Dewey, Todd, and Oglala Lakota counties) were Summit pipeline counties, but rather Democrat strongholds.  Overall, on a statewide basis, Barth lost on a margin of 31% to Chris Nelson’s 69% – more than a 2-1 basis.

Could it be said that pipeline opposition is a winning issue for a candidate in the Public Utilities Commission race?

No. Not at all.

Governor Noem questions RNC Leadership with poorer than expected performance in midterm elections

From the Wall Street Journal, Governor Kristi Noem is openly questioning the leadership of the Republican National Committee as speculation continues that she might be interested in the job herself:

“Who loses this much and gets to keep their job?” Ms. Noem asked during an interview on the sidelines of the Republican Governors Association three-day meeting that started Monday. “We’ve got to evaluate the leadership of the Republican Party.”

and..

Asked whether she has spoken to Mr. Trump about the RNC job, she said, “He and I have not had that conversation. We should as a party have some self-evaluation on how we move forward.”

Read the entire story here.

 

Candidate accused of rape appears in court, prosecutors claim Bud May declared “I’m 6-foot-8, it’s all consensual.”

Oh god. This does not sound good. The Rapid City Journal had a synopsis of the Bud May court appearance, and some of the statements offered by the prosecution are at least on the surface pretty shocking.

When asked if an alleged sexual interaction was consensual, a failed South Dakota House of Representatives Republican candidate said “I’m 6-foot-8, it’s all consensual,” according to the Pennington County State’s Attorneys Office on Tuesday morning.

and..

Referencing law enforcement reports, Magistrate Judge Scott Bogue said the woman was hiding behind a bar counter with dirt, blood and an abrasion on her face when law enforcement arrived. She said May raped her in multiple ways.

The woman told law enforcement the blood on her was May’s, who had been in an altercation before the alleged incident.

Read the entire story here in the Rapid City Journal.

May had lost his race last week as a Republican candidate for the House of Representatives.

After Senator Thune won a historic 4th term, will Majority Leader be next?

John Thune is one of, if not the biggest dog on the porch in South Dakota politics. The question is whether he will have the opportunity to win the top spot in the US Senate during this next six years in office:

The Senator from South Dakota will now return to Washington for a historic fourth term, the second to do so since Karl Mundt in the 1960s. It’s a shift from this time a year ago when rumors were swirling about Thune considering whether he might not run again.

and..

Mike Card, a public policy emeritus professor at the University of South Dakota, said Thune’s been able to stay connected to the state. For McGovern and Daschle, Card said, both were accused of “losing touch” and were unseated in part because of those sentiments.

Schaff said Thune’s win was a “testament to his political skills and Thune has not done anything to run afoul with the State of South Dakota.”

Schaff noted Thune has not made serious enemies in the state and has almost “universal admiration” from the Republican party.

Read the entire story in the Argus Leader.

John is a good guy, and we need more of those in politics. I certainly hope he has the opportunity to rise to Majority Leader.